📊 3,000+ Stocks Ranked Weekly · 6.7M Data Points · 148,635 Observations
Every Week We Find The
Market's Best & Worst 1%
Every week The Oddsmaker ranks 3,000+ stocks using 6.7 million data points and identifies the market's most attractive and least attractive opportunities. Historical testing across 148,635 observations and 46 weekly periods suggests stocks scoring highest and lowest by the model exhibited materially different subsequent performance. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.
The Odds Are Not Equal.
Most
Stocks create average returns
Top 1%
Creates extraordinary wealth
Bottom 1%
Destroys wealth systematically
We Try to Find the Best 1%.
While Avoiding the Worst 1%.
The Oddsmaker systematically ranks thousands of companies to identify both.
METHODOLOGY
How Does The Oddsmaker Work?
Our proprietary research suite strips away market noise and replaces it with mathematical conviction. By utilizing a sophisticated scoring engine that ranks equities on both a linear and non-linear basis, we pinpoint the highest-probability trades at the most optimal times.
5,000+
Stocks Ranked Weekly
100+
Factors Analyzed
6.7M
Data Points Per Week
TOOL #1
The Oddsmaker Score: A Systematic Rank of Every Stock
Every week, the model processes 3,000+ stocks across seven fundamental factors — revenue growth, price-to-target spread, return on equity, EBITDA margin, and more — assigning each stock a score that reflects its relative attractiveness across the full investment universe. The result is a ranked list, not an opinion.
FINDING THE TOP 1% (LONGS)
The engine awards +25 pts for LTM revenue growth >25%, +35 pts when stock price is below 50% of sell-side target, and +25 pts for ROE >20%. An additional +15 pt Long Bonus triggers when ROE is high and EBITDA margin exceeds 35%.That is only the tip of how the model ranks.
FINDING THE WORST (SHORTS)
The engine docks -25 pts for negative revenue growth (declining -10% or worse), strips -35 pts for deeply negative EBITDA margins, and applies another -25 pts for ROE below -20%, instantly dragging names into the bottom tier. That is only the tip of how the model ranks
TOOL #2
The Super Multiple Predictor: Where Valuations Break
The model maps valuation multiples — EV/Sales, Forward EV/EBITDA — against non-linear technical risk signals to identify where a stock’s pricing is structurally fragile or asymmetrically cheap. It doesn’t forecast price. It identifies the conditions under which multiples historically expand or compress.
HOW IT WORKS
It utilizes the Squeeze Watch and Short Bonus overlays to monitor 10-day price performance against high short interest. If a stock is in the bottom 3 deciles and sees price movement above 7% with short interest over 15%, a -2x multiplier is triggered.
THE VALUE
It spots explosive short-squeeze potential and momentum breakouts before they are fully priced in, ensuring you aren't the last one into a trade.
FINDING THE TOP 1% (LONGS)
Awards +20 pts when EV/Sales drops below 1x, and +25 pts when Forward EV/EBITDA is under 2x. This isolates companies with an asymmetric, un-shortable valuation floor.
FINDING THE WORST (SHORTS)
Applies exponential penalties—capping EV/Sales penalties at -100 pts if it exceeds 20x. Integrates a Short Bonus modifier stripping -4 pts for every 1% above the market average volume, predicting rapid fundamental collapse.
TOOL #3
The Trifecta Ratio: Quality That Compounds Over Time
Most investors chase growth. The Trifecta Ratio filters for the intersection of three things that historically define durable businesses: free cash flow margin, revenue growth, and return on invested capital. Across 148,635 observations, stocks scoring in the top decile on all three exhibited materially different subsequent characteristics than those at the bottom. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.
HOW IT WORKS
Every stock is ranked best to worst on a percentile basis across all three metrics simultaneously. The model then rewards companies in the top deciles and penalizes those in the bottom deciles — creating a single quality score that reflects true compounding potential.
THE VALUE
It isolates elite compounders — businesses growing 10–15%+ annually, generating strong free cash flow, and reinvesting at returns above 20% (ROIC/ROE). These are the stocks most likely to deliver outsized, multi-year gains.
FINDING THE TOP 1% (LONGS)
Awards +10 pts for elite FCF Margin percentile + high-double-digit Revenue Growth + ROIC/ROE above 20%. If LTM Share Buybacks confirm capital discipline, the full bonus is applied.
FINDING THE WORST (SHORTS)
Applies a -10 pts penalty for the lowest percentile scores across all three metrics — negative revenue growth, deeply negative ROIC, and no buybacks. Squeeze Watch activates a -2x multiplier if bottom 3 deciles with price surge >7% and short interest >15%.
COMMON QUESTIONS
Frequently Asked Questions
Everything you need to know about The Oddsmaker and how it can improve your investment decisions.
What exactly is The Oddsmaker?
The Oddsmaker is a free weekly newsletter that ranks all 5,000+ US-listed stocks using a 100-factor scoring model built on institutional hedge fund methodology. Every Monday you receive the Best 1% (top 50 undervalued stocks) and Worst 1% (bottom 50 overvalued stocks), plus hedge fund analysis and market intelligence.
How does the 100-factor scoring model work?
The model analyzes every US-listed stock across 100 quantitative factors spanning valuation (P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA), momentum, earnings quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow, analyst revisions, and more. Each stock receives a composite score from 0-100. The top 1% are ranked as Best and the bottom 1% as Worst. The methodology is inspired by the factor-based models used at institutional hedge funds.
Is The Oddsmaker really free?
Yes, completely free. No credit card required. You simply enter your email and receive the full rankings report every Monday morning. There are no hidden upsells to access the core weekly rankings. Unsubscribe at any time with one click.
How is this different from stock screeners or other newsletters?
Most stock screeners require hours of manual setup, use only 5-10 factors, and still leave interpretation to you. Most newsletters are opinion-based and rely on a single analyst gut. The Oddsmaker automates 100 quantitative factors across the entire market every week and delivers a clear ranked output - no opinion, no bias, just data.
Who is The Oddsmaker built for?
The Oddsmaker is built for serious retail investors, self-directed traders, financial advisors, and anyone who wants data-driven stock research without paying for expensive institutional tools. Whether you are a beginner looking for a systematic framework or a professional who wants a second opinion on rankings, The Oddsmaker delivers institutional-grade analysis for free.
Free to Follow. Built to Win.
Stop Guessing.
Start Winning.
Get weekly access to what the model finds — ranked by probability, not opinion.
✓ Top 1% Longs — the best risk/reward setups
✓ Top 1% Shorts — the most overvalued traps
✓ AI Bubble Monitor — track narrative vs. reality
✓ Narrative Bubble Index — when hype exceeds value
✓ Market Probability Dashboard — the full picture
✓ 3,000+ Rankings — every week, updated by the model
Built by a hedge fund manager · 5,000+ stocks scored weekly · 100 institutional-grade factors